Back

Epilepsy & Behavior

Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Epilepsy & Behavior's content profile, based on 12 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

1
Patient-Specific EEG Baseline Establishment Using the E-norms Method for Pediatric Seizure Detection Without Labeled Training Data

Jabre, J. F.

2026-07-16 neurology 10.64898/2026.07.13.26357876 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
4.3%
Show abstract

The aim of this work is to validate patient-specific EEG baseline establishment using the e-norms method as a screening and retrospective-review tool for seizure detection in pediatric epilepsy. The method was applied to 247 seizure-free EEG recordings (263.92 hours) from 10 patients in the CHB-MIT Scalp EEG Database (ages 3-18). A composite stability metric combining first-derivative dynamics, spectral entropy, variance, and line length was computed per 2-second epoch across 23 channels. Patient-specific detection thresholds were derived from each patient's seizure-free baseline using a weighted statistical procedure. Performance was validated against 72 expert-annotated seizures (2,705 epochs) across 62 seizure files, with durations spanning 6 to 264 seconds (44-fold range). The results show that detection achieved 94.4% event-level sensitivity (68 of 72 seizures; 95% CI 86.6-97.8%) and 81.5% epoch-level sensitivity (2,204 of 2,705 epochs; 95% CI 80.0-82.9%). Eight of ten patients achieved 100% event-level sensitivity with epoch-level sensitivity ranging from 58.7% to 100.0%. Two patients showed partial event-level failures (CHB-15: 17 of 20; CHB-18: 5 of 6), with the four missed events attributable to two characterizable failure modes. Patient-specific thresholds ranged from 4.06 to 4.81 (mean 4.51 +/- 0.25); threshold variation did not correlate reliably with age or sex, confirming that no universal threshold could achieve comparable performance. Detection margins ranged from 0.88 to 1.24 times. Patient-specific e-norms achieves 94.4% event-level sensitivity for pediatric EEG seizure detection without requiring labeled seizure training data, exceeding published human expert inter-rater agreement (50-76%) and recent automated approaches in adult cohorts using behind-the-ear EEG and wearable ECG. Two characterizable failure modes account for the four missed events and inform appropriate clinical use. As a high-sensitivity screening tool complementary to real-time alarm systems, the method is ready for adult validation, prospective deployment, and head-to-head benchmarking.

2
Stereoelectroencephalography accuracy in a series of over 3000 trajectories

Thurairajah, A.; Gilmore, G.; Persad, A. R.; Youshani, A. S.; Taha, A.; Abbass, M.; Santyr, B.; Al-Orabi, K. M.; Burneo, J. G.; Pellegrino, G.; Suller-Marti, A.; Western Epilepsy Research Group, ; Parrent, A. G.; MacDougall, K. W.; Steven, D. A.; Lau, J. C.

2026-07-16 surgery 10.64898/2026.07.14.26358071 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
4.1%
Show abstract

Background and Objectives: Stereoelectroencephalography (SEEG) involves the implantation of intracerebral electrodes to investigate drug-resistant epilepsy. SEEG requires millimetric accuracy to ensure safety and optimal mapping. Although studies have evaluated SEEG accuracy, there is substantial variability in reporting. Here we report on implantation accuracy in a large series using the most common accuracy metrics described in the literature and perform a detailed analysis of contributing factors. Methods: SEEG implantations between 2013 and 2025 were included. Application accuracy was computed for each implanted electrode. Specifically, Euclidean, radial, depth, and angle error were calculated at both target and entry points. Correlative and multivariable analyses were conducted between each variable and error metric. Trajectories were also grouped by atlas-derived lobar target. Results: No metrics met assumptions of normality and thus we report accuracy using median with interquartile range (IQR). In a series of 3176 trajectories, median Euclidean target and entry errors were lower for robot-assisted electrodes (n=2858) at 2.19 (IQR: 1.54-2.98) mm and 1.38 (IQR: 0.89-2.01) mm respectively, compared to frame-based (n=318, p<.001) at 2.76 (IQR:1.79-3.76) mm and 2.21 (IQR: 1.42-3.32) mm. Correlation and multivariable regression analysis showed target error was positively correlated with implantation angle, scalp thickness, skull thickness, and trajectory length. Target error was also higher in obese patients. On lobar analysis, parietal lobe trajectories were the most accurate and frontal lobe trajectories were the least accurate. On temporal lobe trajectory analysis, posterior hippocampus trajectories were the most accurate and temporal pole trajectories were the least accurate. Presence of mesial temporal sclerosis also impacted accuracy. Conclusions: We present a detailed description of SEEG implantation accuracy, demonstrating the superior accuracy and speed of robot-assisted to frame-based methods. Furthermore, we analyzed how accuracy varies with specific factors from a global to trajectory level, which can be accounted for when planning SEEG implantations.

3
Regional Disruption of Slow-Wave Sleep Homeostasis in Children with Sleep-Disordered Breathing

Garcia Molina, G.; Peterson, B.; Strainis, E.; Kille, T.; Myers, A.; Taporoski, T.; Matthews, C.; Vascan, A. M.; Jones, S.

2026-07-17 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358161 medRxiv
Top 0.4%
0.2%
Show abstract

Importance Sleep-disordered breathing (SDB) is common in childhood and is associated with attentional and behavioral impairments despite largely preserved sleep macrostructure and minimal abnormalities in conventional electroencephalographic measures. This discrepancy has contributed to the perception that sleep is relatively preserved in pediatric SDB and has limited understanding of the physiological mechanisms underlying morbidity. Objective To determine whether pediatric SDB is associated with disruption of the regional organization and homeostatic dynamics of slow-wave activity (SWA), a key physiological marker of sleep-dependent neural recovery and development. Design, Setting, and Participants Cross-sectional study of 62 children aged 4 to 12 years who underwent overnight polysomnography with high-density electroencephalography in a laboratory setting. Participants were recruited from clinical referrals and the community, spanning the full spectrum of SDB severity. Exposures SDB severity indexed by hypopnea index (HI), apnea-hypopnea index (AHI), and obstructive apnea index (OAI). Main Outcomes and Measures Regional electroencephalogram-derived SWA (0.5 to 4 Hz) topography and exponential decay parameters derived from frontal and posterior cortical regions. The frontal-to-posterior decay-rate ratio was evaluated as a summary measure of regional sleep homeostasis. Results In children with lower hypopnea index, SWA demonstrated the expected developmental pattern, with posterior predominance in younger children and a progressive shift toward a more balanced anterior-posterior distribution with age. Increasing HI was associated with attenuation or reversal of this spatial organization. Global SWA showed no meaningful association with SDB severity. In contrast, regional frontal and posterior decay parameters were strongly associated with HI (adjusted R2 = 0.53; p < 1e-6) but not OAI (adjusted R2 = 0.05; p = .95). The frontal-to-posterior decay-rate ratio showed the strongest association with HI {beta} = 4.15; 95% CI, 3.17-5.13; p < 1e-10; adjusted R2 = 0.55. Conclusions and Relevance Pediatric SDB was associated with regional disruption of slow-wave sleep homeostasis rather than global loss of deep sleep. These alterations affected both the spatial organization and temporal dynamics of SWA during a period of active cortical maturation and were not captured by conventional sleep metrics. Regional SWA dynamics may provide a developmentally sensitive marker of physiological disease burden in children with SDB.

4
Autism Research at a Crossroads: Global Progress, Persistent Gaps, and Future Pathways: A Bibliometric Analysis

zhong, Q.; Chen, L.; Ji, Y.; Zhu, F.; Zou, X.

2026-07-16 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.14.26358066 medRxiv
Top 0.5%
0.1%
Show abstract

Background The global prevalence of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) has significantly increased over the past two decades. Despite substantial research advances, critical aspects, including etiology, diagnostic biomarkers, and pharmacological interventions, remain incompletely elucidated. This persistent knowledge gap warrants systematic mapping of the field's evolution to inform future research priorities. Methods A bibliometric analysis of ASD-related publications indexed in Web of Science was conducted from January 2020 to May 2025. Following a systematic deduplication process, original articles, reviews, case reports, and clinical trials were included in the analysis. The analytical framework comprised co-authorship networks, institutional collaboration patterns, national research contributions, and keyword co-occurrence structures, all of which were examined using CiteSpace (version 5.8.R3) and VOSviewer. Results After deduplication, 8,162 publications (January 2020-May 2025) were analyzed. The annual output grew steadily, confirming ASD as a sustained priority in neuroscience. Research remains academia-driven, led by the United States, with China as the second-largest contributor. Chinese institutions place greater emphasis on mechanistic and developmental phenotyping, which aligns with national priorities. These studies maintain strong methodological rigor, and their growing volume underscores the central role of ASD in translational neuroscience. Conclusion Future research on ASD should focus on strengthening case identification, refining clinical phenotyping, and expanding large-scale cohort studies to advance our understanding of its etiology and identify reliable diagnostic biomarkers. It is equally important to develop and evaluate targeted interventions for core symptoms and integrate telemedicine into service delivery models. A critical yet understudied priority is improving the quality of life for autistic individuals and their families, an area in which research globally, including in China, requires greater depth and consistency. With China's growing investment in autism research, it is well-positioned to contribute to these pressing international challenges.

5
A Culturally Embedded Augmented Reality Task as a Neurocognitive Biomarker of Executive Function in Schizophrenia

Chatthong, W.; Rueankam, M.; Khemthong, S.

2026-07-16 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.14.26358053 medRxiv
Top 0.6%
0.1%
Show abstract

Executive function (EF) deficits are central features of schizophrenia and strongly influence long-term functional outcomes. Conventional cognitive assessments often lack ecological validity and cultural relevance. This study introduces the Luk Chup Augmented Reality (LCAR) tool a video guided, clay modeling task delivered through wearable AR that integrates culturally familiar activity with realtime neurophysiological monitoring. Thirty individuals diagnosed with schizophrenia (mean age = 38.9, SD. = 7.15 years) completed a series of modeling and memory tasks using LCAR while undergoing quantitative EEG (QEEG). Task duration and theta/beta power were analyzed across procedural and color shape memory phases. Memory phases took significantly longer to complete and were associated with decreased lateral prefrontal theta and increased frontal midline theta activity (Fz, Cz), indicating higher EF demand. A repeated-measures ANOVA revealed significant condition, site, and interaction effects on theta power. The LCAR tool shows promise as a culturally grounded, dual-mode assessment of EF in schizophrenia. It offers a novel integration of performance-based and neurophysiological metrics that may inform future interventions in psychiatric rehabilitation.

6
From Menarche to Menopause: Hormonal Influences on Functional Neurological Disorder

Palmer, D. D. G.; Warren, N.; Morton, A.; Lehn, A.

2026-07-18 neurology 10.64898/2026.07.16.26358260 medRxiv
Top 0.6%
0.1%
Show abstract

Background Functional neurological disorder (FND), one of the most common neurological conditions, affects women almost twice as frequently as men. The reasons for this are unknown, and there has been minimal research into how physiological and pathological features of women's health interact with symptoms of FND. Methods We conducted an online survey assessing the effect of several aspects of women's health with the severity of symptoms of FND. Results 484 people completed the survey. Among the 223 who had regular or fairly regular menstrual cycles, a strong difference across the menstrual cycle was seen, with symptoms at their best in the follicular phase, worsening in the luteal phase, and worst in the pre-menstrual period and the menses. This effect was not moderated by a proxy measure of pre-menstrual dysphoric disorder (PMDD). Participants who were taking the combined oral contraceptive (COC, n=43) and progesterone-based contraception (n=80) were more likely to report symptom improvement from starting the medication than worsening. When compared to menstruating participants who were not taking the COC, participants taking the COC reported less worsening in their symptoms of FND in the luteal, pre-menstrual, and menstrual phases. Of the 99 women who had passed menopause since developing FND, 76% reported worsening of their FND symptoms after menopause. Discussion This study demonstrates interactions between several aspects of women's health and symptoms of FND. The observed pattern of symptom fluctuation across hormonal states suggests a potential modulatory role of oestrogen, warranting further targeted investigation.

7
Factors associated with delayed access of care among children under five with malaria and their outcomes at a regional referral hospital in Eastern Uganda

Yung, K. M. M.; Ssenyonga, L. V.; Oboth, P.; Lyagoba, I.; Olowo, S.; Adongo, P. R.

2026-07-18 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.07.16.26358296 medRxiv
Top 0.8%
0.1%
Show abstract

Introduction: Uganda has the highest number of Malaria cases in East and Southern Africa and accounted for 3% of deaths in 2020. This calls for prevention, early diagnosis and treatment of Malaria most especially among children whose condition can progress to severe Malaria within 24 hours. While numerous interventions have been put into place to prevent malaria transmission, delays in diagnosis and treatment of Malaria when ill can lead to further mortality. Therefore, factors associated with delayed access of care among children under five with malaria and their outcomes need to be explored. Methods: A cross sectional study was carried out. The target population was parents/caretakers to children under five with malaria at Mbale Regional Referral Hospital. A consecutive sampling technique was used on the target population. Quantitative data was collected using researcher administered questionnaires designed consistent with the research objectives. Collected data was analyzed using STATA version 15. Results: Among the 216 children under five admitted at Mbale regional referral hospital with Malaria, 59.26% received care from a health facility 24 hours after symptom onset. The most significant predictors of delay in seeking care were the caregiver/ parent having attained tertiary education (AOR=7.1, p value=0.02) and initially implementing other measures other than giving medication/herbs before taking a child to the health center (AOR=4.1, p value=0.00). Conclusion: Despite the numerous interventions put into place to curb the spread of malaria and to manage malaria, delayed access of care remains a significant contributor to the adverse effects of malaria among children under five. Health education on the impact of delayed access of care should be intensified at all levels of healthcare.

8
Validity and Reliability of the Novel Indonesian Instrument for Aphasia Diagnosis (IDEA)

Prawiroharjo, P.; Fakhri, A.; Gabrielle, A.; Martalia, V.; Rahmayani, S. A.; Wijaya, V. G.

2026-07-19 neurology 10.64898/2026.07.17.26358303 medRxiv
Top 0.8%
0.1%
Show abstract

Aphasia diagnosis in Indonesia remains challenging due to limited culturally and linguistically appropriate instruments. Widely used tools such as the Boston Diagnostic Aphasia Examination (BDAE) and Western Aphasia Battery (WAB) are not adapted to the Indonesian context, while Tes Afasia untuk Diagnosis, Informasi, dan Rehabilitasi (TADIR) provides screening but lacks diagnostic accuracy. To address this gap, we developed the Instrumen Diagnosis dan Evaluasi Afasia (IDEA) for native Indonesian speakers and evaluated its validity, reliability, and normative cutoff values in cognitively healthy Indonesian adults. Eighty-three cognitively normal adults (screened using MoCA-Ina) with no history of neurological disease were assessed using IDEA, which evaluates six language domains. Items were adapted from existing tools and reviewed by experts. Content validity, internal consistency (Cronbachs alpha), and construct validity (Exploratory Factor Analysis) were analyzed using SPSS v25. A total of 83 participants were included (median age = 55.81 years, 54% secondary education). IDEA demonstrated good feasibility, with an average completion time of 45-60 minutes depending on participant engagement. Content validity was established by unanimous expert consensus. Construct validity showed meritorious sampling adequacy (KMO = .872) and significant sphericity (Bartletts test {chi}^2 (15) = 278.523, p<.001), supporting factor analysis. Internal consistency showed good reliability across six domains (Cronbachs = 0.896). IDEA is a valid and reliable tool for assessing aphasia in Indonesian natives. It is a culturally appropriate assessment tool which offers structured, domain-based evaluation and supports differential diagnosis of both classical and progressive aphasia syndromes. Keywords: Aphasia, Language Assessment, Indonesian, IDEA, Validity

9
Trends and variations in Lithium usage across care settings in England between 2015-2024

Schiffer, H.; Fisher, L.; Curtis, H. J.; Wood, C.; Brown, A. D.; Bacon, S. C.; Croker, R.; Goldacre, B.; MacKenna, B.; Speed, V.; Macdonald, O.

2026-07-17 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.15.26357641 medRxiv
Top 0.9%
0.1%
Show abstract

Lithium has been the gold standard for the treatment and prevention of relapse in bipolar disorder for over 60 years. Guidance from the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence states explicitly to 'offer lithium as a first-line, long-term pharmacological treatment for bipolar disorder'. Yet, in the last two decades its use has been in decline with clinicians favouring anticonvulsants or antipsychotics when treating this condition. In this study, we have used three openly available datasets containing prescribing data from primary and secondary care to explore trends in the use of lithium in England, showing both regional and temporal variance between 2015-2024. We have shown that lithium use declined in primary care by 20.9% in the last ten years (2015-2024) and 10.9% overall in the last five years (2019 to 2025). We have also shown how there is some regional variation in the source of lithium for patients, although the vast majority is prescribed in primary care. Further research into clinical behaviour is needed to understand what is driving the decrease in lithium usage, and what barriers and enablers may influence its use across the country.

10
General Practice Perspectives on Post-Infection Conditions: Scoping Review and UK Survey

Aung, K. W.; Scuffell, J.; Podlasek, A.; Engamba, S.; Jones, F.; Edwards, A.; Chew-Graham, C. A.; Sanyaolu, L.; Busse-Morris, M.

2026-07-17 primary care research 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358157 medRxiv
Top 0.9%
0.0%
Show abstract

Background Post-infection conditions (PICs), such as Long Covid, are associated with heterogeneous, fluctuating symptoms that profoundly affect daily functioning. Despite moderate-certainty evidence from the NIHR-funded LISTEN trial (COV-LT2-0009) that personalised self management support improves outcomes and may reduce societal and economic impacts of Long Covid, many people living with PICs still receive condition-specific services, generic advice, or stand-alone digital tools that do not address their complex needs. Aim To map care approaches in general practice and synthesise UK evidence for PIC management. Design and setting Scoping review and online survey. Method A two-phase study was conducted: (1) a scoping review of UK evidence on PIC management in general practice; and (2) a supplementary online survey of practitioners working in UK general practice to provide contextual insights. Results The scoping review identified 32 studies focused on Long Covid. One study included a comparator group (ME/CFS). Study populations were predominantly white ethnicity and female. Evidence for non-Covid PICs in UK general practice was largely absent. The supplementary survey (n=46) provided preliminary practice-level insights. Healthcare practitioners reported varied PIC presentations, diagnostic uncertainty, limited referral pathways, inequitable access, and low confidence in managing PICs. Conclusion Evidence informing PIC management in UK general practice remains predominantly Long Covid-focused and may not reflect the range of PICs encountered in practice. While survey findings are preliminary and require confirmation in larger samples, they highlight uncertainty around PIC management. Further research is needed to evaluate whether existing Long Covid pathways should be expanded or complemented by broader PIC models. Keywords general practice; Long Covid; self-management; post-viral syndromes

11
Neonatal admission as a marker of risk for poor educational attainment and special educational needs in children aged 5-11 years

John, A.; Pike, C.; Olga, L.; Sovio, U.; Wong, H. S.; Smith, G. C.; Aiken, C.

2026-07-17 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358132 medRxiv
Top 0.9%
0.0%
Show abstract

Background: Children born prematurely (before 37 weeks) or admitted to the neonatal unit (NNU) are at increased risk of adverse long-term physical health outcomes. It is also recognised that there is an association with later academic performance and special educational needs, however it is not clear whether these broad risk factors could be used as stand-alone heuristics to identify children who may benefit from additional support in educational settings. We aimed to examine the associations between neonatal unit (NNU) admission and educational attainment in mid-childhood. Methods and Findings: Pregnancy data from a prospective birth cohort (Pregnancy Outcome Prediction Study, Cambridge, United Kingdom, 2008-2012) were linked to national educational outcomes (Department for Education, United Kingdom). Multivariable regression models adjusted for maternal, child, and socioeconomic factors were used to evaluate associations between (i) all NNU admissions, (ii) at term NNU admissions >48 hours, (iii) preterm birth without ongoing physical health needs, and educational outcomes at ages 5-11 years. Children who required any NNU care were more likely not to meet expected educational standards across multiple ages and domains in early and mid-childhood: age 5 early year foundation (aOR 1.64, 95% CI 1.19-2.27, p=0.003), phonics at age 6 (aOR 2.43, 95% CI 1.72-3.57, p<0.001), and at age 7 (here assessments were divided into multiple domains): reading (aOR 1.67, 95% CI 1.18-2.38, p=0.004), writing (aOR 1.72, 95% CI 1.25-2.38, p<0.001), mathematics (aOR 1.56, 95% CI 1.09-2.22, p=0.020), and science (aOR 1.85, 95% CI 1.22-2.78, p=0.003). Similar patterns were observed among both at term-born infants who stayed >48hrs in NNU (phonics assessment at age 6 aOR 2.26, 95% CI 1.51-3.36, p<0.001) and in children born preterm without long-term physical health sequelae (phonics assessment at age 6 aOR 3.07, 95% CI 1.96-4.81, p<0.001). These associations were robust to adjustment for demographic, perinatal, and socio-economic factors. By age 11, differences in academic attainment were attenuated and no longer clearly distinguishable across all exposure groups. However, there was an increased likelihood of special educational needs (SEN) at age 11 associated with any NNU admission (aOR 1.78, 95% CI 1.15-2.73, p=0.009), at term NNU admission for >48hrs (aOR 1.88, 95% CI 1.19-3.00, p=0.007), and children born preterm without long-term physical health sequelae (aOR 1.50, 95% CI 1.00-2.25, p=0.049). Predictive performance of any NNU admission for SEN at age 11 was moderate (AUC 0.70, 95% CI: 1.14-2.65, p=0.010), with balanced sensitivity and specificity and high negative predictive value. Conclusions: NNU admission, for both term and preterm infants, is associated with poorer educational outcomes and an increased likelihood of special educational needs in mid-childhood.

12
Temporal relationships between distress and pain in people living with HIV

Arendse, G.; Kamerman, P.; Wadley, A.; Edwards, R. R.; Joska, J.; Parker, R.; Madden, V. J.

2026-07-17 primary care research 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358133 medRxiv
Top 0.9%
0.0%
Show abstract

Objective: There is a bidirectional relationship between emotional distress and pain. However, this relationship is understudied in people with HIV in low-resource settings. This study sought to describe the temporal relationship between emotional distress and pain in people with HIV. Design: Longitudinal observational study. Methods: Participants with virally suppressed HIV, reporting either no pain or persistent pain at baseline, provided weekly remote ratings of distress, worst pain, and average pain using 0-10 visual analogue scales. Within-individual fluctuations in distress and pain were visualised over time. Group-level correlations were determined using Spearman's correlation tests. Cumulative link mixed models assessed whether distress and pain each predicted the other in the following week. Results: 72 participants provided responses over 49 weeks. The participants had a median (IQR) age of 43 (37-51) years, 63% (n=45) were unemployed and most were females (n=51;71%). Distress and pain fluctuated concurrently within individuals: distress was positively correlated with worst pain ({rho}=0.66, 95% CI= 0.60-0.72, p<0.001) and average pain ({rho}=0.70, 95% CI=0.64-0.75, p<0.001) intensity within the same week. Worst pain (OR=1.42, 95% CI=1.17-1.71, p<0.001) and average pain (OR=1.43, 95% CI=1.20-1.71, p<0.001) intensity both predicted distress in the next week. Distress predicted worst pain intensity (OR=1.25, 95% CI=1.07-1.46, p=0.023) but not average pain intensity (OR=1.19, 95% CI=1.01-1.40, p=0.152) in the next week. Conclusions: The temporal relationship between distress and worst pain intensity was bidirectional, whereas distress did not temporally predict average pain intensity. Both pain and emotional distress should receive attention from HIV research and clinical care in low-resource settings.

13
Bridging surveillance gaps in dengue: a hierarchical model integrating mixed data sources for transmission estimation and vaccine targeting

Djaafara, B. A.; Elyazar, I. R.; Yosephine, P.; Surya, A.; Silalahi, F. S.; Handito, A.; Thohir, B.; Aryani, D.; Gunawan, D.; Nisa, A. K.; Prianto, E.; Samad, I.; Cook, A. R.; Huang, A. T.; Clapham, H. E.; Bhatt, S.; Mishra, S.

2026-07-17 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358208 medRxiv
Top 0.9%
0.0%
Show abstract

Estimating dengue force of infection (FOI) is essential for understanding transmission dynamics and targeting intervention programmes, yet surveillance data in endemic settings required for estimations are often incomplete, with varying formats. We developed a Bayesian hierarchical catalytic model that jointly fits age-stratified case data, aggregate case data, and seroprevalence surveys within a single framework, incorporating external covariates to improve parameter identifiability. Synthetic validation showed that covariates alone recovered accurate FOI point estimates even when most districts contributed only aggregate data, but did so with poorly calibrated uncertainty; anchoring the model with a single seroprevalence survey was necessary to bring credible interval coverage close to nominal. Applied to 128 districts across Java and Bali, Indonesia (2016-2024), the model revealed substantial spatial heterogeneity in FOI and reporting rates. Many districts in Java exceeded the WHO-suggested seroprevalence threshold for vaccine introduction, yet were classified as low-priority when using reported incidence as prioritisation criterion, particularly in areas with weak surveillance. Model-based seroprevalence estimation, integrating multiple data sources, offers a more consistent basis for identifying high-priority districts for vaccine introduction, and is less susceptible to surveillance bias than reported incidence.

14
FootNet: A Multi-View Smartphone Dataset and Four-Model Benchmark for Clinical Foot Segmentation

Vijay, A.; Prabhune, A.; Srihari, V. R.; Rayampalli, A.

2026-07-17 health informatics 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358117 medRxiv
Top 0.9%
0.0%
Show abstract

We present FootNet, a 453-image multi-view smartphone foot dataset for binary foot segmentation, with expertannotated masks across six anatomical views (dorsal, medial, and plantar, both left and right). We benchmark four segmentation models under a controlled protocol: U-Net with a MobileNetV2 encoder achieves the best performance (IoU 0.9268, Dice 0.9608, 95 % CI [0.9209, 0.9320]); DeepLabV3 with MobileNetV3-Large scores IoU 0.8984 (Dice 0.9449); UNet++ with MobileNetV2 scores IoU 0.8913 (Dice 0.9391); and SAM ViT-B with oracle boundingbox prompt scores IoU 0.9219 on the matched 191-image subset. Bonferroni-corrected Wilcoxon signed-rank tests (k = 6 comparisons) show U-Net significantly outperforms DeepLab (p < 0.001, r = 0.638) and SAM ViT-B with oracle boundingbox (p = 0.005, r = 0.202); UNet++ does not significantly differ from DeepLab (p = 0.062). Connected-component postprocessing yields negligible benefit (mean {triangleup}IoU = +0.0003, 12 of 453 images improved). The extended dataset is available upon request

15
Efficient stochastic epidemic simulation via the Sellke construction

van Boven, M.; Bootsma, M. C.

2026-07-17 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.07.16.26358219 medRxiv
Top 0.9%
0.0%
Show abstract

Stochastic epidemic models are a cornerstone of infectious disease epidemiology and are often used to study intervention scenarios. However, large run-to-run variability can make intervention effects difficult to estimate precisely. We revisit the epidemic Sellke construction, which assigns each individual an infection threshold for the cumulative infection hazard such that, conditional on the thresholds, the epidemic trajectory becomes deterministic. This enables coupling of simulations with and without an intervention, yielding low-variance effect estimates even when outcomes such as final size or peak incidence vary widely between runs. We develop an exact, event-driven implementation that maintains infection and recovery events in priority queues. Cumulative infection-hazard updates require O(log N) time per event, yielding overall complexity O(Elog N) for E events in a population of size N. The implementation achieves computational performance comparable to the classical Gillespie algorithm while naturally accommodating non-Markovian infectious periods and complex infectiousness profiles. We illustrate the approach using distance-dependent spread of avian influenza between poultry farms in the Netherlands and a multilayer population with households, schools, and workplaces. In both examples, coupling enables efficient within-run comparisons of intervention scenarios across stochastic realisations.

16
Genome-Wide Association Studies and Deep-Learning Functional Annotation of Opioid Use Disorder across Three Ancestries in the All of Us Research Program

Gu, S.; Petrovitch, D.; Hall, O. T.; Lambert, J. W.; Kember, R. L.; Nahid, N. A.; Ma, Q.; Sprague, J. E.; McDonough, C. W.; Johnson, J. A.

2026-07-17 addiction medicine 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358096 medRxiv
Top 0.9%
0.0%
Show abstract

Background: Opioid use disorder (OUD) is heritable, yet most genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have focused on European populations, leaving the genetic architecture of OUD in non-European populations underexplored. Methods: We conducted GWAS of OUD across three ancestries using electronic health records and genomic data from 52,357 All of Us Research Program participants (8,912 cases; 43,445 matched opioid-exposed controls; 48.5% female). Participants were stratified into European (EUR), African (AFR), and Admixed American (AMR) ancestry groups for logistic regression GWAS, with independent replication in the Million Veteran Program. We then applied the deep-learning model AlphaGenome to predict the tissue-specific transcriptomic and splicing consequences of top risk variants across 13 reward-pathway brain regions. Results: We identified and replicated a novel DDX6 risk locus, alongside established OPRM1 and FURIN signals. AlphaGenome predicted the DDX6 regulatory allele downregulates the stress-resistance gene FOXR1 in the nucleus accumbens, while the protective OPRM1 variant (rs1799971) upregulates OPRM1 expression across reward networks. Other signals of interest included IL6R and SHISA9 (EUR); GHR (AFR); and ASTN2 (AMR). Conclusions: This study identifies DDX6 as a novel OUD risk locus, replicates associations with OPRM1 and FURIN, and highlights biologically plausible ancestry-specific signals in AFR and AMR populations. We also replicated top variants in an independent population. Finally, integrating GWAS with deep-learning annotations provides specific, localized biological hypotheses to guide future experimental validation and targeted therapeutics.

17
Complex intra-host SARS-CoV-2 evolution following monoclonal antibody pre-exposure prophylaxis

Kamelian, K.; Pascall, D. J.; Cheng, M. T. K.; Meng, B.; Altaf, M.; Morse, R. M.; Aggio, J. B.; Egan, D. J. S.; Chen-Xu, M.; Trivioli, G.; Sutton, B.; Richter, A.; Gonzalez-Vazquez, L. D.; Cormie, C.; Kemp, S.; Yeadon, R.; Hyatt, B.; Wong, A.; Thesin Pelamkulangara, N.; Fraser, E.; McCarthy, B.; Novaes, F.; Stott, S.; Galvin, A.; Bellis, K. L.; De Angelis, D.; Harrison, E. M.; Martin, D.; Smith, R. M.; Gupta, R. K.

2026-07-17 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.07.14.26356329 medRxiv
Top 0.9%
0.0%
Show abstract

Background: Monoclonal antibodies have emerged as a prophylactic strategy to prevent symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection in immunocompromised individuals. However, the evolutionary and clinical implications of breakthrough infections under this regime remain unclear. Methods: A male in their 80s with a haematological/oncological diagnosis received a 2000 mg intravenous infusion of sotrovimab in March 2023 and was diagnosed with COVID-19 by RT-qPCR from a nasopharyngeal swab in August 2023. Weekly samples (n=24) were collected through February 2024 (171 days). All samples underwent whole-genome sequencing, with select mutations subjected to functional assessment. Findings: Sequencing identified the GE.1 lineage at all timepoints. An intra-host recombination event in ORF1ab (positions 8942-12458) was detected prior to 23 weeks post-detection, followed by a 14-fold increase in viral load (7.42e+06 to 1.00e+08 RNA copies/mL) and a marked shift in the viral population. E340D, a sotrovimab resistance mutation, was detected at low abundance (46%) within the first week post-infection, fluctuated over time, and was nearly fixed by week 15 (107 days) post-detection. We assessed five spike mutations - V36M, S98F, and V213G in the N-terminal domain, Y505P in the receptor-binding domain, and P681Q near the S1/S2 cleavage site - and additionally evaluated the impact of E340D. V36M conferred the highest infectivity across all cell lines, with the most significant effect in low-TMPRSS2 cells. While all mutations showed enhanced infectivity with the addition of E340D, the effect was most pronounced in mutations with lower baseline infectivity. The addition of E340D significantly decreased relative neutralizing titres for V36M, S98F, and V213G, enabling escape from neutralizing antibodies in XBB-responsive individuals, illustrating an enhanced phenotypic advantage. Patient neutralizing activity was absent pre-sotrovimab, and sotrovimab-induced neutralization was further compromised by selection of E340D. Interpretation: Sotrovimab pre-exposure prophylaxis in an immunocompromised patient did not prevent SARS-CoV-2 infection, and selected for resistant mutation E340D, with unexpected fitness consequences across non-receptor binding domain spike regions.

18
Human GPR174 deficiency drives polyclonal lymphoproliferative disease via defects in T cell function

Huang, Y.-H.; Arana, K.; Rachimi, S.; Tam, H.; Spegarova, J. S.; Engelhardt, K. R.; Griffin, H.; Mee, M.; Miano, M.; Raggi, F.; Grossi, A.; Rusmini, M.; Ceccherini, I.; Dell'Orso, G.; Ferro, J.; Giarratana, M. C.; Pillai, V.; Banka, S.; Garcez, T.; Briggs, T. A.; Mellouli, F.; von Hardenberg, S.; Beier, R.; Auber, B.; Baumann, U.; Tawamie, H.; Behrens, E.; Oldridge, D. A.; Cabrera, E. C.; Xu, Y.; Ouyang, S.; Hambleton, S.; Romberg, N.; Cyster, J. G.

2026-07-17 rheumatology 10.64898/2026.07.14.26357774 medRxiv
Top 0.9%
0.0%
Show abstract

The X-linked G-protein coupled receptor GPR174 is highly expressed in T and B lymphocytes and has immunoregulatory roles in mice, but its function in humans is unknown. We describe a cohort of six individuals who have function-disrupting variants in GPR174 and a clinical phenotype of lymphadenopathy and autoimmunity. Histological analysis of two patient lymph nodes revealed necrotizing lymphadenitis and lymphoproliferation resembling Kikuchi-Fujimoto disease. In-depth analysis of three patients and related carriers revealed overaccumulation of CD8 terminally differentiated effector memory cells re-expressing CD45RA (TEMRA). Patient cells and GPR174-deficient CD8 T cells generated from controls showed less repression of proliferation by the GPR174 ligand lysophosphatidylserine (lysoPS) and an effector-biased gene expression program. GPR174-deficient CD4 T cells were resistant to lysoPS-mediated suppression of IL2 production. In mice, chronic viral infection led to over-accumulation of GPR174-deficient effector CD8 T cells. We describe an inborn error of immunity associated with dysregulated lymphocyte responses that we propose predisposes to exaggerated lymphoproliferation and autoimmunity following viral infection.

19
Large Language Model - Enhanced Decision Tree Framework for Identifying Multiple Sclerosis Diagnoses from Clinical Documentation

Venkatesh, S.; DelSignore, M.; Wu, X.; Morris, M.; Kerr, W. T.; Visweswaran, S.; Wang, Y.; Xia, Z.

2026-07-17 neurology 10.64898/2026.07.14.26357416 medRxiv
Top 0.9%
0.0%
Show abstract

Background. Early diagnosis and intervention are crucial in multiple sclerosis (MS), yet diagnostic delays are common. Large language models (LLMs) such as generative pre-trained transformers (GPTs) may help streamline diagnostic workflows by extracting MS diagnostic signals from clinical notes. Objective. To derive MS diagnosis status from the first neurology note using a computable algorithm based on the 2017 McDonald criteria and applying GPT-4 for node-level reasoning within a structured decision framework. Methods. We analyzed first neurology notes from 125 randomly selected patients (including those with MS, related disorders, and controls) enrolled in a clinic cohort between 2017 and 2023. We included the clinical history and diagnostic testing sections but redacted the assessment and plan. We converted the 2017 McDonald criteria into a decision tree and provided expert-curated clinical knowledge to guide GPT-4 reasoning at each decision node. GPT-4 generated binary decisions at each node to traverse the tree and classified MS diagnoses at terminal nodes. We evaluated performance against neurologist-assessed diagnoses and characterized hallucinations (non-factual, incongruent, irrelevant, over-reliant, and logical reasoning errors). Results. In this study cohort (mean age 40{+/-}13 years; 81% women) representative of the clinic population, GPT-4 performed well in predicting MS diagnosis (84% accuracy, 79% precision, 74% recall, 91% specificity) using first neurology notes. Hallucinations occurred in 32 cases (26%), most commonly incoherence (75%) and overreliance (47%). Conclusion. A structured, LLM-guided decision framework can flag MS diagnoses from early clinical documentation. Large-scale studies are needed to mitigate hallucinations, validate this approach, and test implementation in clinical settings.

20
Nationwide Mpox Genomic Surveillance Reveals Clade Ib Introductions, APOBEC3-Driven Evolution, and Terminal Deletions

Brochu, H. N.; Shi, Q.; Song, K.; Zhang, Q.; Munroe, J.; Harris, N. J.; Britt, N.; Zeng, Q.; Kapuria, K.; Chappell, J.; Norvell, B. M.; Peavy, L.; Williams, J. D.; Harris, A. B.; Chaitram, J.; Hutson, C. L.; Deng, J.; McGrath, D.; Boles, D.; Dale, S. E.; Gigante, C. M.; Iyer, L. K.

2026-07-17 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.07.15.26357894 medRxiv
Top 0.9%
0.0%
Show abstract

Background The 2022-2023 global mpox outbreak highlighted the critical need for robust genomic surveillance capabilities to track mpox virus (MPXV) evolution and transmission dynamics. Methods Building upon our established SARS-CoV-2 sequencing infrastructure, we implemented a Molecular Loop probe-based long-read sequencing approach using Pacific Biosciences Sequel II technology for comprehensive MPXV genomic surveillance across the United States (US). From August 2024 to June 2025, we generated 326 high-quality whole genome sequences from residual mpox-positive clinical specimens collected by Labcorp across all 10 US Department of Health and Human Services regions. Results Our analysis identified two samples containing clade Ib MPXV in January and June 2025 and captured shifting trends in clade IIb diversity, with 13 distinct lineages observed. We also identified multiple instances of large (~1.6-17.6kb) deletions proximal to the inverted terminal repeats in clade IIb genomes. APOBEC3 mutation analysis indicated substantial evidence of human-to-human transmission among both clades. Further, we observed significantly higher APOBEC3-associated SNPs per kilobase (P<0.001) in clade IIb genomic variable regions relative to their central conserved region. Our assay exhibited strong reproducibility across biological replicates from individual patients and accuracy was confirmed via parallel sequencing of select specimens by US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) using metagenomic sequencing. We also demonstrated via custom simulation that our assay discriminates all known MPXV clades and lineages, including those we have not observed in the US. Conclusions Our integrated nationwide surveillance system facilitates real-time genomic tracking of outbreak evolution, with demonstrated capacity across SARS-CoV-2 and MPXV, positioning this platform for rapid deployment during future pathogen emergence.